Casemiro's Transformative Impact on Results
Manchester United's record with Casemiro starting is impressive: 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in six matches, including victories over Burnley, Chelsea, Sunderland, and Liverpool. Without him, defeats like 3-0 to Manchester City and 3-1 to Brentford exposed midfield frailties.
Statistical data underscores this: in five games with significant minutes, United averaged 1.93 xG for and conceded just 1.09 xG against. Open-play balance was +0.67 xG per match, contrasting sharply with 2.00 xG conceded when absent.
On/off splits show opponents generate higher-quality shots post-substitution, while United's rhythm falters, emphasizing his stabilizing presence despite game-state nuances.
Defensive Anchor and Attacking Enabler
Casemiro fortifies United's defense, limiting opponents to set pieces and second-phase chances. Open-play xG conceded nearly triples without him, as seen in Brentford's 3.03 xGOT—the season's highest against Amorim's side.
Attacking-wise, his presence enables structured progression and sustained pressure, maintaining stable xG creation. Without him, reliance shifts to transitions, reducing control.
This balance makes United more competitive, turning inconsistent performances into positive outcomes under Amorim.
2025/26 Stats and Career Revival
In 2025/26, Casemiro's 2 goals and 1 assist in 8 matches highlight his offensive contributions alongside defensive prowess. Highlights from recent games showcase his positive start.
Reviving from earlier struggles, like a halftime substitution against Liverpool in 2024-25, he now anchors midfield effectively, boosting win percentages to 66.7% with him versus far lower without.
His role addresses United's volatility, providing the control needed for Rúben Amorim's system amid ongoing challenges.